Uncertainty Shocks in Emerging Economies: A Global to Local Approach for Identification

نویسندگان

چکیده

The paper investigates the effects of uncertainty shocks in emerging economies (EMEs). We construct a global indicator as well country measures for fifteen relatively small economies. adopt an instrumental variable approach to identify exogenous EMEs. To deal with data limitations specific countries, we develop new Bayesian algorithm estimate proxy panel structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) model. find that EMEs cause severe falls GDP and stock price indexes, generate inflation, depreciate currency are not followed by subsequent overshoot activity. Estimation implies considerable heterogeneity across response which can be (in part) explained characteristics.

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Social Science Research Network

سال: 2022

ISSN: ['1556-5068']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4176889